This post is dedicated to the basis on which the investor takes his/her investment decisions.While fundamental analysis and security evaluation explain why share prices fluctuate,what to buy and sell, the Technical Analysis helps when to buy and sell.Technical Analysis of the market is based on some principles,the first one being, all fundamental factors are discounted by the market and are reflected in prices. Secondly,these prices move in trends or waves which can be both upward or downward depending on the sentiment, psychology and emotions of traders.Thirdly, the present trends are influenced by the past trends, and the projection of future trends is possible by an analysisof past price trends.
Certains tools used to Technical Analysis are Daily fluctuation and trends data, floating stockand volume of trade,price trends and volume trends,Rate of change of prices,Japanese Candlestick method,dow theory,elliot wave theory,theory of gaps,Advance decline line,relative strength index.
Dow Theory postulates that prices of industries securities tend to move in tune with the business cycles of the boom,depression in the economy.If the business conditions are good,demand increasing,industrial performance will be good and the corporate share prices will be on the upswing.The reverse is true in times of recession and depression in the economy.The trends in the economy are reflected in the market average prices of shares.All fundamental factors are discounted by the market, and get reflected in average prices. A study of these average market prices is what is attempted in technical analysis and its trends are in the form of peaks,troughs and cycles.
Sunday, March 23, 2008
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